What's the true covid-19 prevalence?
Correction of "random" street test figures
What percentage was found positive in the rapid tests?%
What percentage of the general population thinks they have symptpms?
%
People who believe they have symptoms
-are how many times more likely to have the virus than people who don't think they have symptoms?
-are how many times more likely to test themselves than people who don't think they have symptoms?
The rapid tests are exaggarating by %
The actual percentage of carriers is closer to %
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Side calculations
How likely is it that someone without symptoms has the virus?Then, according to the above parameters, believed symptoms prevalence is:
Note, sample prevalence φ has to be between vh as above and vs
where vs = a vh , ts = b th